Analysis of the Cost-Effective Road Maintenance Program for the Improvement of Road Value in Kabupaten Gresik Using the Forecasting Method

Dhiannita Tri Astuti, I Putu Artama Wiguna

Abstract


Roads have a very significant role in enhancing various fields as part of the national transport network. Road management includes road construction, improvement, and technical maintenance activities, which are continuously carried out for the physical maintenance of the road. The role of the road service must be fulfilled so as not to compete with the transportation that passes on the road. Based on the phenomena that have been described, we present the analysis of the cost requirements and methods of road handling in addition to the effectiveness of road stability for the next two years. The research was carried out for a case study of the district major road in Gresik Regency, which is represented in this situation by three main roads. The analysis of a data set is based on the variables of historical data. Then, we analyze using time series with moving averages, exponential smoothing, and trend projection. Next, the method for setting a maintaining strategy of overcoming prediction and its relation to the solidity of the roads, using fuzzy tahani. The results analyzed are confirmed by the recommended output for the next two years.

Keywords


Exponential Smoothing; Fuzzy Tahani; Moving Averages; Roads Management Prediction; Trend Projection

Full Text:

PDF

References


“Undang-undang Republik Indonesia no 38 Tahun 2004”, President of the Republic of Indonesia, 2004.

M. Onyango, S. A. Merabi, J. Owino, I. Fomunung, and W. Wu, “Analysis of Cost Effective Pavement Treatment and Budget Optimization for Arterial Roads in the City of Chattanooga,” Front. Struct. Civ. Eng., vol 12, pp. 291–299, Aug 2017.

“Undang-undang Republik Indonesia no 38 Tahun 2008”, President of the Republic of Indonesia, 2008.

Hamdi, S. P. Hadiwardoyo, A. G. Correia, and P. Pereira, “New Optimization Strategies of Pavement Maintenance: A Case Study for National Road Network in Indonesia using Integrated Road Management System,” in Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Engineering, Technology, and Industrial Application - Green Process, Material, and Energy: A Sustainable Solution for Climate Change, ICETIA 2016.

J. Ma, L. Cheng, and D. Li, “Road Maintenance Optimization Model Based on Dynamic Programming in Urban Traffic Network,” Journal of Adv. Transportation, vol. 2018, Jun 2018.

D. M. P. Wedagama “Determining Regencial Road Handling Priority Using Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP) and TOPSIS Method (Case Study: Badung Regency - Bali),” Jurnal Teknik Sipil Insstitut Teknologi Bandung, vol. 17, no. 2, pp. 143-152, Aug. 2010.

D. M. P. Wedagama and A. Frederika, “Applying Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP) α -Cut Based and TOPSIS Methods to Determine Bali Provincial Road Handling Priority,” Journal of civil engineering science and application, vol. 13, no. 2, pp 98-106, 2011.




DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.12962/j23546026.y2020i6.11156

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


View my Stat: Click Here

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.